Feds are meeting to solve Vancouver’s housing ‘crisis’

Can Federal Government solve Vancouver’s Housing ‘Crisis’?

Justin Trudeau in Vancouver
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks on CTV Morning Live in Vancouver on June 17, 2016. (Matt Bourne)

Our Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is in Vancouver. The Prime Minister has just announced a massive funding injection to the public transportation in the region. On Friday June 17, he will be attending a roundtable on housing affordability, which brings tougher Liberal MPs, academics and housing experts.

He acknowledged that affordability issues in Vancouver are very complex puzzle. He also added that they would do everything possible to manage local real estate prices without it effecting the rest of Canada.

“We want to be drawing in money from overseas to continue to make this an extraordinary city, but we need to make sure we’re doing it in such a way people can afford their homes,” he said.

Federal Government has a few tools available to them that will potentially slow down Vancouver’s active real estate market. However, most of these tools will negatively effect real estate markets in other Canadian cities.

One of the tools at their disposal is raising interest rates. However, an increase in interest rates would have to be nationwide which will negatively effect the rest of Canada. Real estate markets in most Canadian cities are already not doing well.

Raising a minimum downpayment to 10% is another tool Federal Government might use. This strategy once again will have a negative effect on the rest of Canada.

Posing an “empty homes” tax could be another solution proposed. This solution might have a very minimal effect. Overseas millionaires who spend $4 million to buy a property will not be discouraged by an additional property tax.

It will be very interesting to see what solutions are proposed if any. It will also be interesting to see if Federal Government will actually get involved in regulating Provincial and Regional real estate.

Summer 2016 – Vancouver Real Estate Predictions

What to expect from the Vancouver real estate market for the summer 2016 season.

Vancouver Coal Harbour Marina

 

 

Friends, we are entering uncharted waters. The demand is at the all time high. The inventory is the at the all time low. We are having one record-breaking month after another. What’s next? Will the market crash? Will the prices go down? Will the market remain just as strong?

Short answer – “I don’t know”. In fact nobody knows, and whoever claims that they know is probably a psychic. However, as an experienced Vancouver Realtor I can make some predictions.

Real Estate Prices

We can anticipate the prices to go up slightly over the next few months in most of the Vancouver neighbourhoods. The price increase will not be as extreme as what we’ve seen in the winter and spring of 2016.

Condo prices in some Vancouver neighbourhoods might even plateau. In my opinion we will not see any price drops during summer 2016.

Buyers’ Demand

Buyers’ demand in Vancouver remains strong. However, we can already see early signs of the buyers fatigue. Properties that were receiving 8-10 offers in March and April are now getting 3-4 offers. Still a lot of demand. Perhaps people looking for properties during summer months notice a drop in the competition levels.

The market is still a very strong sellers market and will most likely remain a strong sellers markets for the summer months.

Inventory Levels/Houses or Condos for Sale

Vancouver real estate market tends to go through the seasons. Spring is generally a busy season and summer is slower.

We have seen a fifty percent drop in inventory from the previous years.  We can anticipate even lower levels of inventory during this summer season. This could be a good opportunity for potential sellers to list their home as there are less competing properties.

In summery, the Vancouver real estate market will slow down a little for the summer months.  The lower buyer demand will be balanced out by the lower inventory levels. For the most part – business as usual.

 

NOTE: This article represents my personal opinion. Do your own independent research before taking any actions. 

Spring 2016 – Vancouver Real Estate Market Update

What you should know about the Vancouver real estate market in the spring 2016.

vancouver skyline

Vancouver real estate market is a topic of conversation. It’s hard to turn on the news without hearing about a tear-down that’s been sold for three hundred thousand dollars over asking price or how the last few months were record breaking for local real estate.

Here are the trends I’ve noticed over the last couple of months:

The buyers demand seems to be cooling off as we head into the summer season.

Properties that used to receive 8-10 offers now receive 3-4 offers. Real Estate market activity usually goes though seasonal cycles. There are high activity seasons such as spring and fall, and lower activity seasons such as summer and winter.

A cool-off in real estate activity is natural as we enter summer season. But this could also be an early sign of over-all cool down of the hyper-active Vancouver real estate market. It is still too early to tell which one is it.

The prices are still remaining high and show no signs of going down.

Even though the buyers demand is cooling-off the real estate market still remains a very strong sellers’ market.

Real estate prices continue climbing up but perhaps not as fast as they did at the end of winter/early spring 2016. As we head into the summer season, we can anticipate real estate prices to slow down.  More on this in my article –  “Summer 2016 – Vancouver Real Estate Predictions”.

Inventory is still at the all time low.

We have seen a fifty percent drop in inventory from the previous years. This lack of available properties for sale is one of the most important components fuelling such strong seller market.

We can expect even less inventory being available for the upcoming summer season, which will balance out the lower buyer demand and continue current real estate climate.

In summery, Vancouver real estate market remains a very strong sellers market with roughly 3-4 buyers for every property for sale. Until we solve the demand issue in Vancouver or there is a major change effecting real estate market (ex. increase in the interests rates) we will continue seeing a version of the current market climate for the foreseeable future.

 

NOTE: This article represents my personal opinion. Do your own independent research before taking any actions.